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first_img Anna Sokolidou | Thursday, 20th August, 2020 | More on: EZJ See all posts by Anna Sokolidou Anna Sokolidou has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. Enter Your Email Address easyJet shares have had a tough time this year. In fact, it looks like the company is still in deep trouble. But is the stock a bargain or a value trap?Recently easyJet announced that it will have to close its bases at Stansted, Southend, and Newcastle. This means the airline will have to cut 670 jobs. I think it’s a clear sign that air travel activity is nowhere near its pre-pandemic levels. In fact, it looks like the airline industry is still shrinking.   5G is here – and shares of this ‘sleeping giant’ could be a great way for you to potentially profit!According to one leading industry firm, the 5G boom could create a global industry worth US$12.3 TRILLION out of thin air…And if you click here we’ll show you something that could be key to unlocking 5G’s full potential…Year-on-year change of weekly flight frequency, UKSource: StatistaIf we look at the graph above, it might look as if air travel is experiencing an upturn. However, the journey to recovery is slow. Airline activity levels are still down about 65% year-on-year.   easyJet sharesMy colleague Harvey wrote an excellent article about the risks of investing in an airline. I agree that the future for the industry looks highly uncertain. After all, summertime has always been profitable for airlines but this year is clearly an exception. On 15 June, easyJet was allowed to resume flights, but the airline expects to only have 40% capacity this quarter. Although that’s an improvement, it’s quite a pain for the company. At the same time, this estimate is rather optimistic. The thing is that the UK government reintroduced a quarantine for travellers from many countries, including France, the Netherlands, and Monaco. So, easyJet’s passenger traffic might even fall short of expectations.easyJet has an important advantage of being the ‘lean and fit’ industry leader. What’s more, it has plenty of cash. On the other hand, its shareholders got diluted when the company issued more stock in an effort to raise additional cash. The firm’s net debt (debt less cash) rose almost twofold over a period of just three months. On 30 June the company’s net debt was £835m compared to £467m on 31 March. That’s pretty bad. The revenue for the quarter was just £7m. Not inspiring. Neither is the company’s stock price, which is down almost two-thirds from its February highs. easyJet share priceSource: YChartsA bargain or a value trap?It might look like the market is perfectly rational right now. But many investors buy for the ‘bright future’. How likely is easyJet to have one? If it is likely, then its stock is clearly a bargain. If not, it’s a value trap.Here are the key questions investors should ask.First, how much time will it take the airline industry to recover? According to Moody’s basic scenario, the airline industry will only recover in 2023. This forecast, however, is highly uncertain. It might recover much earlier if an effective coronavirus vaccine becomes available soon enough. But if Covid-19 gets totally out of control, I’m afraid it will take the industry even longer to recover. Secondly, how sound is the company’s financial position? easyJet is currently rated as Baa3, which is very low investment-grade. Although the cash pile is impressive, the cash burn rate is really high. Even though the airline is one of the industry’s leaders, it is quite a risk now as an investment, I think. I’d only recommend brave investors to buy easyJet shares. But if you are rather risk-averse, I’d suggest looking elsewhere.         Click here to claim your copy now — and we’ll tell you the name of this Top US Share… free of charge! I’m sure you’ll agree that’s quite the statement from Motley Fool Co-Founder Tom Gardner.But since our US analyst team first recommended shares in this unique tech stock back in 2016, the value has soared.What’s more, we firmly believe there’s still plenty of upside in its future. In fact, even throughout the current coronavirus crisis, its performance has been beating Wall St expectations.And right now, we’re giving you a chance to discover exactly what has got our analysts all fired up about this niche industry phenomenon, in our FREE special report, A Top US Share From The Motley Fool. Simply click below to discover how you can take advantage of this.center_img I would like to receive emails from you about product information and offers from The Fool and its business partners. Each of these emails will provide a link to unsubscribe from future emails. More information about how The Fool collects, stores, and handles personal data is available in its Privacy Statement. Renowned stock-picker Mark Rogers and his analyst team at The Motley Fool UK have named 6 shares that they believe UK investors should consider buying NOW.So if you’re looking for more stock ideas to try and best position your portfolio today, then it might be a good day for you. Because we’re offering a full 33% off your first year of membership to our flagship share-tipping service, backed by our ‘no quibbles’ 30-day subscription fee refund guarantee. Image source: Getty Images “This Stock Could Be Like Buying Amazon in 1997” Our 6 ‘Best Buys Now’ Shares easyJet shares are still in deep trouble! Are they a bargain or a value trap?last_img read more

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